1
65%
Home Win
1.55
X
21%
Draw
4.7
2
14%
Away Win
7.08
xG Home
1.91
xG Away
0.76
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Aarhus GF an expected 1.9 goals and Sonderjyske an expected 0.8 goals. Aarhus GF have a 65% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Sonderjyske at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.2%
2:0
12.6%
1:1
10%
2:1
9.6%
3:0
8.1%
0:0
6.9%
3:1
6.1%
0:1
5.3%
4:0
3.8%
1:2
3.8%
2:2
3.6%
4:1
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Aarhus GF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 65% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.54 |
| Market Odds | 1.64 |
Team Comparison
| Aarhus GF | Sonderjyske | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 6 |
| 67 | Points | 44 |
| 59% | Win % | 38% |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
Venue Form
Aarhus GF at Home
W1
D3
L0
(4 games)
Sonderjyske Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Aarhus GF
D
W
D
D
Sonderjyske
D
W
L
