How are Serie A predictions generated?

VARiM uses the Poisson distribution model — a statistical approach that analyses each team's historical goal-scoring and conceding rates to calculate the probability of every possible scoreline in a Serie A match.

Are the Serie A predictions free?

Yes, all Serie A predictions on VARiM are completely free. You can also track prediction accuracy over time at varim.net/predictions/accuracy/.

What does the "value edge" percentage mean?

Value edge shows how much better our model's implied probability is compared to the bookmaker's implied probability. A positive value edge means the bet is statistically underpriced by the market.

How often are Serie A predictions updated?

Predictions are refreshed automatically as new fixtures are scheduled. For upcoming matches the model updates daily; for today's matches predictions lock at kick-off time.